Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 24 oct. 2026, 21:07 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
20% 35.9%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard14 mai 26, 07:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?
KalshiConditional on humanity surviving to 2035, will a global AI pause have been enacted?
Manifold MarketsWill any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI safety community successfully advocates for a global AI development slowdown by December 2027
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
AI diffusion is measured as the share of people between ages of 15 and 64 who have used a generative AI product.
- This measure is derived from aggregated and anonymized Microsoft telemetry and adjusted to reflect differences in OS and device-market share, internet penetration, and country population.
- This data is measured to be 17.8% at Q1 2026.
- https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/corporate-responsibility/topics/ai-economy-institute/reports/global-ai-adoption-2026-q1
- This market will be resolved based on future data published by Microsoft AI Diffusion Report.
