From which country will originate the AI that first passes Manifold AI's high quality Turing Test?
IA4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
United States 67%En tête parmi 5 options
United States 67%Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète28 août 24, 06:58 UTC1 janv. 31, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolves as the country of origin of the AI that first passes this Turing test:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708)If the creators are a collaboration between multiple research groups in multiple countries, this will resolve proportionally with counties of origin of each group (e.g. 2 US groups and 1 French group resolves 2:1 US:France).
- If groups are sorted by contribution, and there is some first-author equivalent tier of contribution, resolves only to that subset.