Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 91.7%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
10 nov. 26, 05:25 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Claude Fable 5.5 be released before Nov 16?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Claude Fable be released?
Manifold MarketsGPT Astra 6.1+ Released By End of November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic officially releases or makes publicly available the model designated as Claude Fable 5.5 (or an official model under the Fable 5.5 designation) on or before November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- "Released" is defined as public availability via any official channel, including the Claude API / Platform, the Claude web or desktop interface, or official cloud partners (e.g., AWS Bedrock, Google Cloud Vertex AI, Microsoft Foundry).
- Official announcements from Anthropic's Newsroom or the official @AnthropicAI X account announcing the release will qualify.
- Closed, private developer previews or unconfirmed model routing/leaks do not count unless Anthropic formally recognizes the release or opens general or public beta access.