Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.1%
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39
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
6 janv. 26, 02:16 UTC1 févr. 31, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?
Manifold MarketsWhich promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.
Manifold MarketsWill Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?
Manifold MarketsWill a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Will any of the following automakers deliver a road‑legal passenger vehicle using Donut Lab’s all‑solid‑state Donut Battery as its main traction battery to a retail customer on or before 2030‑12‑31: Toyota, Volkswagen Group, Ford, Hyundai, Honda, Nissan, Kia, BYD, General Motors (incl.
- Chevrolet), BMW, Mercedes‑Benz, Stellantis, Suzuki, Changan, Geely, Renault, Mitsubishi, Porsche, Mazda?
- Resolution criteria
- Covered automakers: Exactly this list: Toyota; Volkswagen Group; Ford; Hyundai; Honda; Nissan; Kia; BYD; General Motors (including Chevrolet as a GM brand); BMW; Mercedes‑Benz; Stellantis; Suzuki; Changan; Geely; Renault; Mitsubishi; Porsche; Mazda.
- Vehicle type:
- Must be a series‑production, road‑legal passenger vehicle (car, SUV, or light van) homologated for public roads in at least one country.
