Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes (99%)
Résolu: 29 sept. 2026, 13:43
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 sept. 2026, 05:23 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes99%
No1%
Gagné
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolves YES if a competition called the 'Patriot Games' (or similar (decided by me)), is held between high school aged students in the USA during 2026.
- They are supposed to be one boy and girl from each of the 50 states and potentially US territories.
- The only thing I care about regarding this defining factor is that students from the 50 states could have competed, if they don't end up showing up because of logistics or something else I don't really care whether the final competition ends up being 50 boys and girls.
- to be clear: I am very doubtful this even happens in a remotely resembling fashion compared to what Trump has said, so I if something even close to what Trump has described or what the general public envisions happening, I will resolve YES.
- But I am highly skeptical it is even close.