Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.5%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète15 juin 26, 04:34 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:28 UTC
Tendances
Règles
By end of 2026, will I believe that there was meaningful election fraud in the 2026 LA mayoral primary? I would count paying people to vote but not paying them to register, intentional miscounting of votes / misreporting tallies, etc. I wouldn't count a few illegal immigrants voting, but I would count a coordinated effort to encourage them to, or >1000 doing so independently.
- The fraud doesn't have to have changed the outcome of the race, but it does have to have affected more than just a few (100?) votes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Did the 2026 LA mayoral primary have election fraud? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Did the 2026 LA mayoral primary have election fraud? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Did the 2026 LA mayoral primary have election fraud? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Did the 2026 LA mayoral primary have election fraud? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : By end of 2026, will I believe that there was meaningful election fraud in the 2026 LA mayoral primary? I would count paying people to vote but not paying them to register, intentional miscounting of votes / misreporting tallies, etc. I wouldn't count a few illegal immigrants voting, but I would count a coordinated effort to encourage them to, or >1000 doing so independently.