Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.6%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète26 sept. 25, 01:52 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Vince McMahon be found guilty of sex trafficking?
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
Resolves yes if James comes is found guilty by a court of the USA in his current indictment
- Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market may not be limited to charges in the current indictment.
- Superseding or other indictments may be included in the resolution.
- Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the current effort to indict, not strictly limited to charges in the current indictment.
- This may include superseding indictments or other related indictments that are part of the same prosecutorial effort.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Comey found guilty by the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Comey found guilty by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Comey found guilty by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Comey found guilty by the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes if James comes is found guilty by a court of the USA in his current indictment