If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 93.1% au 30 octobre 2026.

Quand If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?

If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.

Comment If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2026-03-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Impeachment and conviction by the Senate will not count as being found guilty of a crime for the purposes of this market.

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KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt67.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-3.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep-1.1pt7.2%

+1 résultats de plus

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• Democratic Party93.1%
• Republican Party6.9%

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3,8 M €

KALSHI

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• Democratic Party+0.8pt92.3%
• Republican Party-1.4pt7.7%

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• Ken Paxton-1.0pt30.5%

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POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+5.0pt69.9%
• R Senate, D-5.0pt22.3%
• Republicans Sweep6.8%

+2 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party+4.0pt72%
• Republican Party-4.0pt28%

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11,3 M €

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