Prévision communautaire actuelle
By Jan 1, 2028 41.9%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète8 déc. 25, 19:05 UTC8 déc. 28, 18:54 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketBest AI this week
KalshiRègles
This market aims to predict when Google will add ads to its primary user-facing (i.e. not dev-only or api-based) AI offering (currently being Gemini).
- These ads may take many forms, such as regular AdWords/AdSense ads that correlate to the topic(s) discussed, “sponsored responses” (á la Rufus on Amazon), etc. This market will not resolve to yes if ads are only seen by a handful of users (e.g. a/b testing), but will resolve to yes even if ads are only seen by a particular segment (of non-negligible size), such as non-paying users, users from certain countries, etc. Note: If Google introduces a separate standalone AI offering (i.e. not just in-search AI snippets) that significantly supersedes Gemini (e.g. how Gemini replaced Bard) before this market is resolved, this market may be updated to track that offering instead.
- Update 2026-07-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Adding AI to ads does not count as resolution criteria.
- The market requires ads to be added to Gemini (the AI product), not AI features being added to existing ad formats.