By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 75% au 31 octobre 2026.

Quand By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal? sera-t-il résolu ?

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.

Comment By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Acceptable journals (taken from a list by Brian Leiter based on a survey):

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-2.5pt53.5%
• Claude+0.3pt36%
• ChatGPT-0.1pt7.1%

+5 résultats de plus

Volume total

14,5 M €

Volume 24h

131,1 k €

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T-1.8pt94%
• ↑$1.75T+7.0pt86%
• ↑$2.0T+1.0pt71%

+11 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+0.5pt31.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.6pt19.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.6pt18.4%

+7 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.6pt100%
• Alibaba0%
• Amazon0%

+18 résultats de plus

Volume total

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-0.8pt93%
• November 30-9.5pt80%
• November 19-6.5pt70%

+27 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

• 1.5T+-4.1pt35%
• No IPO by December 31, 2027-1.7pt21%
• 1.25T–1.5T-0.5pt12%

+4 résultats de plus

• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Google market share this week
• Anthropic IPO Date
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Gemini Carbon released on?