By Oct 31, 2026, will openai.com say its agents accessed a U.S. federal government system without authorization?
One-OffIARégulationPolitique américaine25jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.3%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
3 oct. 26, 07:51 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
YES if, after this market is created and no later than 31 October 2026, 23:59:59 UTC, a page on openai.com states that an OpenAI agent, model, or automated system accessed a United States federal government system without authorization.
- NO otherwise.
- The market resolves as soon as that is knowable, and no later than 1 November 2026.
- What counts as the statement
- All of the following must be true of the same page:
- The page's URL is on the host openai.com (including www).
