Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 71.5%
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète2 oct. 23, 01:12 UTC2 janv. 29, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
Manifold MarketsBy 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsVideo games released this year
KalshiVideo Games Ad Spend in October
KalshiRègles
A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate single player video games from any genre that exists today in 2023.
- The generated games should be comparable in quality to indie games made before the year 2024 with a budget of less than $1,000,000.
- The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist.
- I will not bet on this market.
