Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Flavio Bolsonaro (99%)
Résolu: 5 oct. 2026, 01:03
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Chronologie des Probabilités
Lula1%
Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Other0%
Gagné
Perdu
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout
KalshiBrazil presidential election: first round winner?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election Winner 2026?
Gemini2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the highest number of valid votes (excluding blank and null votes) in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, according to official data released by the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
- First Round Date: October 4, 2026.
- Runoff Clarification: The market resolves based solely on the results of the first round.
- Even if no candidate achieves the absolute majority (>50%) required to win the presidency outright (thereby triggering a runoff on October 25, 2026), the candidate with the most valid votes in the first round will be declared the winner.
- Unlisted Winner: Because the options list is locked, if a candidate not listed among the choices wins the first round, this market will resolve to N/A.
