KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva 6%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,7 €
Liquidité
18,2 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
1.0% / 10.0%
Spread
900.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
23 avr. 26, 4:004 oct. 27, 14:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
7.0%3mo
+7.0%50%
-7.0%14%
-0.5%14%
+29 résultats de plus
64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total278 k €
Volume 24h1,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.