Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 52.9% au 31 octobre 2026.

Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA?

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 52.9%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 13 heures

Obsolète

13 août 23, 21:17 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

This question will resolve as YES if any treatment for celiac disease successfully completes Phase 3 trials and is subsequently approved by the FDA.

If the process for drug approval changes between now and 2030 such that treatments do not follow the same trial process, this question will resolve as N/A. Otherwise, if the existing trials structure does not change and no treatment is approved, this question will resolve as NO.
Here is some additional information: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/01/well/celiac-disease-treatment.html