Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle[2.0, 2.25)% 34.8%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète19 avr. 26, 13:31 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
What will be the average ECB deposit rate in the 3rd quarter of 2026? Intervals are left-inclusive.
- Intervals are pre-selected based on markets that at the time of creation predict a tendency to rise rates rather than lower them.
- Specifically refers to the deposit rate with this as the primary source: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
- Resolution: If the rate changes within the quarter I will calculate the average rate by number of days from the official data.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 91 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 569,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 359,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 79,7 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 18,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,3 k €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Average ECB Rate in 2026Q3? ?
- Manifold Markets cote [2.0, 2.25)% à 35% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Average ECB Rate in 2026Q3? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Average ECB Rate in 2026Q3? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Average ECB Rate in 2026Q3? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : What will be the average ECB deposit rate in the 3rd quarter of 2026? Intervals are left-inclusive.