End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro?
One-OffPolitique américaineAmérique latine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.7%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 26, 22:12 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who was the Polymarket trader who made $400k betting on Maduro's ouster?
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PolymarketWill Maduro have a trial in USA during 2026?
Manifold MarketsNicolás Maduro released from custody by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItWill former Venezuelan president Nicolaus Maduro come back to power in 2026
Manifold MarketsRègles
Currently not sure.
- If I'm still unsure at the end of the year, I'll still make a judgment call and resolve YES or NO.
- Context and considerations:
- I'm a Canadian liberal type who hates Trump
- I'm a bit hawkish in general in regards to foreign policy
- Maduro seems like a pretty bad dude, Venezuelans as a people seem pretty happy
