Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.5%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète23 avr. 26, 18:10 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic natively integrate image generation into Claude and/or Claude Code in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Claude Code support AGENTS.md in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the terminal UI be the default interface for Claude code on 1 Jan 2027?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point during the calendar year 2026, Anthropic formally announces or implements a policy change that restricts access to the "Claude Code" tool so that it is exclusively available on their "Max" tier plan (or equivalent highest-tier plan), removing it from all lower-tier, free, or individual plans where it was previously available.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements on the Anthropic blog (https://www.anthropic.com/news) or updates to the official Anthropic pricing and plan comparison page (https://www.anthropic.com/pricing).
- If Anthropic discontinues Claude Code entirely, or if the product is rebranded in a way that makes this distinction inapplicable, the market will resolve based on the closest functional equivalent.
- Claude Code is a command-line interface tool introduced by Anthropic designed to allow developers to interact with Claude directly within their terminal environment to execute coding tasks.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Anthropic Removes Claude Code From Every Plan Except Max in 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Anthropic Removes Claude Code From Every Plan Except Max in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Anthropic Removes Claude Code From Every Plan Except Max in 2026 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Anthropic Removes Claude Code From Every Plan Except Max in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria