Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
6 juil. 25, 03:51 UTC31 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
KalshiWill the America party run a candidate in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if a candidate from the America Party wins any election in the 2026 U.S. midterms at the federal, state, or local level.
- A "NO" resolution occurs if no America Party candidate secures such a position.
- If Elon Musk's political party operates under a different name but meets the same criteria, the market will still resolve to "YES." However, if Musk assumes control of an existing party, such as the Reform or Forward Party, without establishing a new party, this will not count towards a "YES" resolution.
