(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?
Russie / UkraineOne-Off2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 43.6%En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
66
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète24 oct. 23, 15:35 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
I will not resolve to "Other".
- Although if you buy it you'll automatically get shares in any new options created.
- 1 year after Putin dies or is clearly out of power (eg in jail, fled to Switzerland etc.)
- I will look in major media and find who is in charge.
- I'll favor the nominal highest leader, who typically does things like occupy the place of most honor, have the most rights, speak at the most important occasions etc. If there is a nominal leader who is a puppet, and we know the real power, I will choose the real power.
- IE in recent times regardless of his title, Putin has been in charge.