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Données au 1 sept. 2026, 03:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 50%
Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
26 août 26, 11:531 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour December 31 est de 6%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 44 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm December 31 6% · 2 plateformes · 44 pt d’ecart entre venues
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date? ?
- Limitless cote September 30 à 50% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Limitless règle ce marché comme suit : the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.