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Données au 25 oct. 2026, 22:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Probabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 50%
September 30 50%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
26 août 26, 11:53 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
KalshiWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?
FutuurWill Samuel Alito leave the Supreme Court before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? · June 30, 2027 42%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? · Before Jan 1, 2028 69%