KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jul 1, 2027 31%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
49 €
Liquidité
270,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
30 juin 26, 15:17 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date?
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jul 1, 2027 à 31% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless, Polymarket.