KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2028 68.5%En tête parmi 6 options
Before Jan 1, 2028 68.5%Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert
84 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
30 juin 26, 15:17 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2028
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date?
LimitlessWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?
FutuurWill Samuel Alito leave the Supreme Court before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.