LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 12:48 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Sep 8, 2026 50%En tête parmi 4 options
Before Sep 8, 2026 50%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
26 août 26, 17:04 UTC2 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Only work inside the boundary of Big Bend National Park counts.
- Activity elsewhere along the border, including elsewhere in the Big Bend Border Patrol sector and on state or private land, is outside this market.
Federal border security infrastructure means patrol and access roads, vehicle barriers, fencing or wall, detection technology, surveillance towers, lighting and power lines installed for border security purposes.
- Work on any one component is enough, and it does not matter how the work is characterised by the agency or its contractors.
Qualifying work is physical: disturbing ground, or erecting or installing any of that infrastructure.
The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Surveying, mapping, environmental review or planning that does not disturb ground
Moving or staging equipment without physical work starting
Restoration, revegetation or remediation of ground disturbed before the pause
An announcement that work will resume on a future date
Outcome verified from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, BBC, The Guardian, ABC News Australia, South China Morning Post, and CBC.
