LimitlessFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
50 50%
Qualité du marché
19 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
13,3 k €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète7 juil. 26, 16:284 sept. 26, 3:59
Tendances
50%
2%
Règles
75 · 50.
This market resolves "YES" if the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA APHIS) has confirmed a cumulative total of New World screwworm (NWS) animal cases in the United States equal to or greater than the number specified in the title, counting all cases with a Confirmed Date on or before August 31, 2026.
"Animal cases" means the cumulative "Total Animal Cases" figure reported on the USDA APHIS confirmed-detections dashboard (domestic plus wildlife/feral), counted since the first U.S. case on June 3, 2026, regardless of whether a case is later marked active or inactive.
- Fly-trap detections and human cases are excluded.
The resolution source is the official USDA APHIS confirmed-detections dashboard: https://www.aphis.usda.gov/animals/animal-health/livestock-and-poultry-disease/current-status/us-confirmed-cases-new-world — read as of its 6:00 p.m. ET update on September 3, 2026, to allow for confirmation lag on late-August cases.
If the dashboard page is unavailable at the time of resolution, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
As of the July 5, 2026 update, 32 cases had been confirmed.
