KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleDemocratic by 9.0% or more 21%+2.0%En tête parmi 20 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,6 k €
Liquidité
22,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
18.0% / 21.0%
Spread
16.7%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
20 mai 26, 18:006 mai 29, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democratic by 9.0% or more21%
Tendance du volume
$3.0k4 juil.3j de données8 juil.
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If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The popular vote margin is calculated as (total votes for the winner minus total votes for second place) divided by total votes, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- The calculation uses the states' and DC's most recent certificates of ascertainment of presidential election results as of the date of the January joint session of Congress.
- If multiple certificates of ascertainment are sent to Congress for a state, the one Congress counts is used.
- If Congress rejects all certificates for a state, the most recently issued one is used.
- Votes cast for a candidate under multiple party nominations are aggregated.