KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 35% 78%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
172,5 €
Liquidité
172,5 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
8 sept. 26, 23:00 UTC20 sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share?
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KalshiMecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: Grüne vote share?
KalshiMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?
PolymarketCDU above 5% in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by AfD in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 31% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? ?
- Kalshi cote At least 35% à 78% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? doit être résolu le 20 septembre 2027.
- Comment Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by AfD in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 31% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.