KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 56% 73%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Liquidité
1,1 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
11 sept. 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
CO-04 House election: Tim Veldhuizen vote percent
KalshiCO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percent
KalshiLA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiCO-05 House election: Matt Cavanaugh vote percent
KalshiCO-05 House election: Roy Matthewson vote percent
KalshiLA-03 House election: Caleb Walker vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiRègles
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Johnson in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mike Johnson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- The percentage is based on the first round of voting.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 114,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,9 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round) ?
- Kalshi cote At least 56% à 73% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round) sera-t-il résolu ?
- LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round) doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Johnson in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.