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Données au 20 sept. 2026, 00:25 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
MiniMax 1%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
89.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
18 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC25 sept. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PolymarketWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Artificial Analysis - Video Arena
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If MiniMax is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-8.5pt77%
- December 15,-22.5pt60%
- November 30,-27.0pt51%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 199,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt90%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt86%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT+1.5pt14.4%
- Gemini+1.9pt9.6%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10 M €
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 23.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 22.7%99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 153,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.5%+9.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 5.6%+45.0pt91%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 171 k €
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 199,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Claude Opus released on?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Top Text to Video AI this week ?
- Kalshi cote MiniMax à 1% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Top Text to Video AI this week sera-t-il résolu ?
- Top Text to Video AI this week doit être résolu le 25 septembre 2026.
- Comment Top Text to Video AI this week est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.