Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffChina5mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
United Kingdom 82%+8.0ptEn tête parmi 12 options
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,6 k €
Liquidité
7,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
13 sept. 26, 23:00 UTC18 févr. 27, 20:55 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Kalshi10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
FutuurRègles
If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Japan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Japan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- For this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data.
- Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.
- Values will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding.
- Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership.
- For row matching, “the named outcome” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “the named outcome” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 436,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 33,9 k €
KALSHISOFR for September 17, 2026
- 3.66% or Above94.3%
- Exactly 3.63%0.9%
- Exactly 3.62%0.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 22,4 k €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.5pt9%
- Below 4.73%+4.2pt7%
- Below 4.51%+0.3pt3%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,4 k €
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-3.0pt33%
- Below 5.21%+2.0pt17%
- Below 5.18%+4.5pt11%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 5.30%+3.3pt100%
- 5.33%+27.5pt100%
- 5.36%+49.6pt100%
+6 résultats de plus
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote United Kingdom à 82% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? doit être résolu le 18 février 2027.
- Comment Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Japan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Japan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.