KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
California 99%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
54 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,5 €
Liquidité
30,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
2 déc. 25, 20:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
KalshiHow many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will Trump visit in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill Trump visit Greenland by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump visit North Korea by which date?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump visit Iran?
KalshiRègles
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of California after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Guardianlocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads in the stateofficial social media accounts of Donald Trump or their official representativesofficial government sources of the stateofficial representatives or offices of Donald TrumpThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCCNBC
- The following do NOT constitute a visit:
- Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period
- For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one.
- Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit.
- Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 591,4 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.9pt100%
- September 25+7.0pt93%
- September 30+6.5pt84%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt53.5%
- No change+1.0pt44.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
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- Democratic Party+0.5pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 418,6 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.2%
- D-House, R-Senate30.6%
- Republicans sweep-0.7pt9.2%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,8 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which states will Trump visit in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote California à 99% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which states will Trump visit in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which states will Trump visit in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which states will Trump visit in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of California after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Which states will Trump visit in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.