KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
People's Party · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
People's Party 43%En tête parmi 4 options
People's Party 43%Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
272,9 €
Intérêt ouvert
16,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
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People's PartyÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 44 minutes
15 juil. 25, 14:00 UTC22 août 27, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · People's Party
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Spanish general election: 2nd place
KalshiSpanish general election: PSOE vote percent
KalshiHow many seats will Vox get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the People's Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Ministry of Interior
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Clarification (10/06/26): For purposes of this Contract, seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).
Règles de chaque résultat
- People's Party
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Vox, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sumar
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Sumar, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence inter-plateformes de CoinRithm pour People's Party est de 73%. L'écart entre plateformes est d'environ 29 points de pourcentage.
Référence CoinRithm People's Party 73% · 2 plateformes · 29 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Spanish general election winner? · People's Party 44%
