KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
PSOE · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
PSOE 83%En tête parmi 3 options
PSOE 83%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
140,3 €
Intérêt ouvert
811,3 €
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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PSOEÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 50 minutes
En retard5 oct. 26, 21:00 UTC29 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · PSOE
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
KalshiSpanish general election: 3rd place
KalshiSpanish general election: margin of victory
KalshiSpanish general election: PSOE vote percent
KalshiNew Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Junta Electoral Central
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of Congress of Deputies seats in the Junta Electoral Central's final, certified general scrutiny (escrutinio general) resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by national vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published on election night Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Senate seats do NOT count Seats won by a party's regional federation or joint list that runs under its name count toward that party (for example, seats won by the Socialists' Party of Catalonia, PSC-PSOE, count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Règles de chaque résultat
- PSOE
- If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party
- If the People's Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If Vox finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
