Probabilité implicite actuelle
People's Party 80.8%En tête parmi 4 options
People's Party 80.8%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
5 oct. 26, 12:58 UTC21 août 28, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
the named outcome · the named outcome · Sumar · Vox.
Additional context — Updated October 14, 2026
Seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).
If the winner of the next Spanish general election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Outcome verified from Ministry of Interior.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence inter-plateformes de CoinRithm pour People's Party est de 80%. L'écart entre plateformes est d'environ 1 point de pourcentage.
Référence CoinRithm People's Party 80% · 2 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Spanish general election winner? · People's Party 75%
