KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
3.88% or Above 57.7%En tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,1 k €
Liquidité
4,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
24 sept. 26, 13:10 UTC25 sept. 26, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
KalshiSOFR at end of Q4 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketRègles
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 24, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.83%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.84%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 556,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 42,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.45%+25.5pt90%
- 5.50%83%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 79,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25,8 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 75,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,1 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 53,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.07% or above99%
- 5.03% or above99%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 4.50%-18.0pt28%
- Below 4.35%-3.5pt21%
- Below 4.40%-4.0pt21%
+6 résultats de plus
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 25, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour SOFR for September 24, 2026 ?
- Kalshi cote 3.88% or Above à 57.7% au 24 septembre 2026.
- Quand SOFR for September 24, 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- SOFR for September 24, 2026 doit être résolu le 25 septembre 2026.
- Comment SOFR for September 24, 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.