KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 3.25% 95%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,6 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
19 août 26, 19:30 UTC1 oct. 26, 11:55 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 389,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 24,4 k €
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.55% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.53% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6 k €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.91% or above99%
- 4.81% or above99%
- 4.83% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.85%+18.1pt100%
- 4.88%+58.0pt100%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,6 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%93%
- 5.45%-4.5pt76%
- 5.70%+32.0pt55%
+6 résultats de plus
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour SOFR at end of Q3 2026 ?
- Kalshi cote Above 3.25% à 95% au 16 septembre 2026.
- Quand SOFR at end of Q3 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- SOFR at end of Q3 2026 doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment SOFR at end of Q3 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.