KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAbove 3.75% 81.2%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
190,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
76.0% / 83.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
1 juil. 26, 14:001 oct. 26, 11:55
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above 3.75%82%
Tendance du volume
$2052 juil.13j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
0 €Above 3.00%: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
0 €Above 3.20%: 89%KALSHI
KALSHI
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 28, 2026?
30,5 k €4.65% or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
263,7 €2023: 1.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
219,7 €Oui: 76.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSU.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
112 €Oui: 50.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Hong Kong to Reopen RMB Bonds with Tender on July 23, 2026Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds price 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.75% after TV segmentBlockchain.News
UK picks HSBC Orion platform for first digital sovereign bondCrypto News
UK plans first G7 digital sovereign bond by early 2027CoindeskRègles
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.