KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
5.31% or above 99%En tête parmi 20 options
Qualité du marché
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
21,1 k €
Liquidité
19,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
10 sept. 26, 03:00 UTC30 sept. 26, 19:30 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
LimitlessWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.30% on any business day between Sep 9, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- This market covers the period between Sep 9, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.