KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 23 oct. 2026, 11:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Exactly 3.88% 90%En tête parmi 7 options
Exactly 3.88% 90%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
15,9 k €
Intérêt ouvert
8 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
24.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète22 oct. 26, 12:00 UTC23 oct. 26, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Exactly 3.88%90%
Exactly 3.90%41%
Exactly 3.89%34%
Exactly 3.87%4%
3.91% or Above2%
3.85% or Below1%
Exactly 3.86%1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
KalshiUS Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
KalshiHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for October 22, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”. Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Exactly 3.88%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.88%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.90%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.89%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.89%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.87%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.87%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.91% or Above
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.85% or Below
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is at most 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.86%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 22, 2026 is exactly 3.86%, then the market resolves to Yes.