KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 4.67% or above (88%)
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 23 oct. 2026, 21:22 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
4.67% or above54%
4.65% or above72%
4.71% or above17%
4.69% or above57%
4.63% or above85%
4.61% or above95%
4.75% or above1%
4.77% or above38%
4.73% or above23%
4.79% or above25%
4.81% or above0%
4.83% or above10%
4.85% or above8%
4.87% or above13%
4.89% or above7%
4.65% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 99% ·
4.61% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 99% ·
4.67% or aboveGagné
Avant la clôture: 88% ·
4.63% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 70% ·
4.69% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 57% ·
4.71% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 13% ·
4.87% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 13% ·
4.89% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 7% ·
4.85% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 4% ·
4.73% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 2% ·
4.75% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 1% ·
4.77% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 1% ·
4.79% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 1% ·
4.81% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
4.83% or abovePerdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketActifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 4.65% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.61% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.67% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.63% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.62% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.69% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.68% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.71% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.87% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.89% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.85% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.73% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.75% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.77% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.79% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.81% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.80% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.83% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.