KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
4.76% or above · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
4.76% or above 94.5%En tête parmi 15 options
4.76% or above 94.5%Qualité du marché
25 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
278,6 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
4.76% or aboveÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
16 oct. 26, 19:30 UTC23 oct. 26, 19:30 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 1h (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · 4.76% or above
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 4.76% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.9% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.04% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.78% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.8% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.82% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.84% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.86% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.88% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.92% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.94% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.96% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.98% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.02% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.