KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
3.91% or Above 62%En tête parmi 7 options
3.91% or Above 62%Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
11,6 k €
Intérêt ouvert
10,4 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
45.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
30 sept. 26, 13:45 UTC1 oct. 26, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
KalshiSOFR at end of Q4 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 30, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”. Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 3.91% or Above
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.90%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.89%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.89%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.86%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.86%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.87%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.87%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.85% or Below
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is at most 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.88%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.88%, then the market resolves to Yes.