KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
At least 28 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
At least 28 91%En tête parmi 8 options
At least 28 91%Qualité du marché
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,4 k €
Intérêt ouvert
3,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
At least 28Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
13 nov. 26, 15:45 UTC3 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · At least 28
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many votes will Van Hollen get on the first Senate leader ballot?
KalshiWhich senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiWill Jeffries become House Speaker and Schumer Senate Majority Leader as the 120th Congress begins in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer be the senate majority leader after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Colom back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiSchumer out of senate by 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 40 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Senate DemocratsThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- The first ballot is the first ballot held by the Senate Democratic caucus to elect its leader for the 120th Congress. The count is the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on it, as reported by a Source Agency. If the caucus elects Chuck Schumer its leader without a ballot (for example by acclamation, voice vote or unanimous consent), the count is the number of senators and senators-elect in the Senate Democratic caucus, including independents who caucus with Democrats. A report that Chuck Schumer was elected unanimously that gives no number and does not say a ballot was held counts as an election without a ballot, unless a Source Agency reports that a ballot was held. The count is 0 if no ballot is held before Jan 3, 2027 and Chuck Schumer is not elected without one. If Chuck Schumer withdraws, the count is the number of votes cast for him on the first ballot, and 0 if none were cast. Only an exact number reported by a Source Agency counts; a range, a margin or an approximate number does not. If a ballot is held but no Source Agency reports the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer by the Expiration Date, the market resolves to the last fair price as solely determined by the Exchange. If Source Agencies report different counts, the count reported by the Source Agency listed first is used. The following do NOT count: Votes cast for Chuck Schumer on a later ballot A motion or voice vote after a ballot to make the result unanimous Votes cast for any other candidate, or abstentions
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 28
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 28 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 24
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 24 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 32
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 32 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 36
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 36 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 40
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 40 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 44
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 44 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 48
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 48 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 52 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
