Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Schumer out of senate by 2029? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 73.8% au 15 novembre 2026.

Quand Schumer out of senate by 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?

Schumer out of senate by 2029? doit être résolu le 4 janvier 2029.

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Chuck Schumer is the current Senate Minority Leader as leader of the Democratic Caucus.

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 73.8%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 heure

En retard

3 janv. 26, 05:57 UTC4 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Chuck Schumer is the current Senate Minority Leader as leader of the Democratic Caucus.

Many are dissatisfied with his leadership, especially after the deal that ended the shutdown in the fall of 2025.
There have been calls for him to resign and/or be primaried, especially by more progressive and anti-establishment voters in the Democratic Party.
This Market will resolve to YES if Chuck Schumer is no longer a US senator by the beginning of the 121st congress in 2029.
This could be due to his resignation or failure to be re-elected or his death.
If Schumer declines to run for reelection in 2028, this market will be resolved early.