KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 90%
Qualité du marché
54 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
0,3 €
Liquidité
7,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
10.0% / 15.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
29 août 25, 14:00 UTC4 nov. 28, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
KalshiWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWho will run for President of Brazil?
KalshiRègles
If Bernie Sanders runs for President of The United States before Nov 4, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2028.
- Comment Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Bernie Sanders runs for President of The United States before Nov 4, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.