Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 50%
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète16 déc. 23, 18:01 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a US senator, other than Bernie Sanders, identify as a socialist before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
KalshiWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
This question resolves YES if Bernie Sanders ceases to be a United States Senator for any reason before 2030.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/will-bernie-sanders-cease-to-be-a-u-097adb543ad4)
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves YES if Bernie Sanders ceases to be a United States Senator for any reason before 2030.