Will a US senator, other than Bernie Sanders, identify as a socialist before 2030?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 64.2%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète1 nov. 23, 03:17 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders live to see a human walk on the moon again?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030, will 20% of voters identify as longtermists?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWho will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
KalshiRègles
This question will be resolved by checking Wikipedia's list of socialist Congresspeople.
- If at least one senator, other than Bernie Sanders, self-identifies as a socialist (and makes it onto this list), this question resolves YES.
