KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 16:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
32.0% / 40.0%
Écart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
19 août 26, 22:00 UTC6 août 27, 12:29 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?
KalshiWill the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029?
Manifold MarketsIn 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?
Manifold MarketsUS labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
KalshiUS labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
KalshiUS labor force participation rate at year-end 2027
KalshiRègles
If BLS reports that the labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54, seasonally adjusted for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 84.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- This market will use the seasonally adjusted labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54 reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release for series LNS11300060.
- Settlement is based on the value initially reported for that reference month and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Marchés ouverts
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- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 51 k €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 17,9 k €
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-35.0pt30%
- At least ¥74,000-40.0pt27%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16,9 k €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+5.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-6.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44 k €
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-1.0pt89%
- No11%
- Volume total
- 893,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,6 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027? doit être résolu le 6 août 2027.
- Comment Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If BLS reports that the labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54, seasonally adjusted for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 84.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.