KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 0.0% 99%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
86 €
Liquidité
1,3 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
6 nov. 25, 15:00 UTC30 sept. 26, 12:25 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?
KalshiCore PCE YoY - August 2026
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.2% in August 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.6% in August 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
- It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 90,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 358,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 35,8 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 548,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 79,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6 k €
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 résultats de plus
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Above 0.0% à 99% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.