KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Above 49.4% (99%)
Résolu: 17 oct. 2026, 16:45
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 17 oct. 2026, 13:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Above 55.1%28%
Above 56.1%1%
Above 67.0%1%
Above 61.6%7%
Above 49.4%Gagné
Above 56.1%Perdu
Above 61.6%Perdu
Above 65.5%Perdu
Above 55.1%Perdu
Above 69.0%Perdu
Above 69.7%Perdu
Above 67.0%Perdu
Above 73.8%Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
KalshiWill an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 49.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 16, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 49.4%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 49.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 56.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 56.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 61.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 61.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65.5%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 65.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 55.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 55.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 69.0%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 69.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 69.7%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 69.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 67.0%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 67.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 73.8%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 16, 2026 is above 73.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.