KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Republicans, 2+ pts 39.2%En tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
797,5 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
5 mai 26, 20:20 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory ?
- Kalshi cote Republicans, 2+ pts à 39% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.