KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Republicans, 14+ pts 79%+31.0ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3 k €
Liquidité
3,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
5 mai 26, 20:243 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
0%
Règles
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Missouri's 4th District margin of victory ?
- Kalshi cote Republicans, 14+ pts à 79% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Missouri's 4th District margin of victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Missouri's 4th District margin of victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Missouri's 4th District margin of victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.